I’m Gerry and I love mandering

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Joined 1 year ago
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Cake day: June 30th, 2023

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  • I’m just some guy, not any kind of military expert, and I get my news from all over the place so please don’t treat any of what I’m saying as anything other than some guy on the internet talking shit.

    For your first question, the cluster munitions seem to be allowing Ukraine to continue its counteroffensive because it and the west as a whole has largely run out of regular artillery ammunition. There was a video a while back where Biden answered a reporter’s question about why the us was sending cluster bombs, and biden just said point blank ‘we’ve run out of ammunition’. So as far as I can tell it’s not any kind of game changing weapon, but it does allow Ukraine to continue attacking the Russian defensive lines. From what I can tell, and I try to stay at least moderately up to date with what’s happening in the actual war itself, Ukraine’s counteroffensive has so far been a total failure. They’ve captured a negligible amount of territory and suffered heavy losses of both human beings and military equipment.

    For your second question about the Wagners, I’ve no idea about the passport stuff but my best guesses as to what they’re doing in Belarus are as follows: They’re there as a potential counterweight to any polish or other non-Ukrainian Nato forces that might enter the battlefield; They’re there to threaten Ukrainian forces with the possibility that another front might be opened in the war from the north; They’re there to actually open another front in the war from the north; all of the above.

    For your third question, I expect Russia to just keep doing what they’ve been doing.

    And for your final question, my best guess is that this is going to continue for several years